Human Inference: Strategies and Shortcomings of Social Judgment |
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Page 91
... people's capacity to appreciate relationships between variables . In this chapter we first review evidence of these shortcomings and then attempt to reconcile the ap- parent contradiction between peoples ' failures in the laboratory and ...
... people's capacity to appreciate relationships between variables . In this chapter we first review evidence of these shortcomings and then attempt to reconcile the ap- parent contradiction between peoples ' failures in the laboratory and ...
Page 92
... people's inability to learn readily from negative instances . The logic exhibited by subjects in the fourfold table experiments is suspiciously similar to the logic shown by poorly educated laypeople in discussing a proposition such as ...
... people's inability to learn readily from negative instances . The logic exhibited by subjects in the fourfold table experiments is suspiciously similar to the logic shown by poorly educated laypeople in discussing a proposition such as ...
Page 136
... people's judgments in a purely chance - determined situation . In true skill - determined situations , the apparent competence or incompetence of an opponent , or the ability to exercise some control , might appropriately affect one's ...
... people's judgments in a purely chance - determined situation . In true skill - determined situations , the apparent competence or incompetence of an opponent , or the ability to exercise some control , might appropriately affect one's ...
Contents
inferential problems and the formal scientific | 8 |
summary | 15 |
the representativeness heuristic | 24 |
Copyright | |
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ability accuracy accurate actor Amos Tversky assessment attribution theory availability heuristic base rates base-rate behavior beliefs bias biased causal analysis causal attribution causal explanations causal theories causes chapter characterization classical conditioning cognitive colleagues concrete condition consensus information correlation covariation Daniel Kahneman Daryl Bem debriefing demonstration diagnostic domain effects estimates everyday evidence example experience experimental failure formal fundamental attribution error given human hypothesis Illusory correlation impact implications important individual inferences inferential strategies inferential tasks influence intuitive scientist judgments Kahneman knowledge structures layperson less likelihood manipulations motivational Nisbett and Wilson normative object observers one's outcomes particular people's perception perseverance person preconceptions predictions predictor primacy effects probably probative problems processes psychology question regression relatively relevant reported representativeness heuristic response Ross sample sample bias schema script seems simple situation Social Psychology sometimes sophomore slump statistical stereotypes stimuli target tendency tion Tversky typical variable versus vivid information