Human Inference: Strategies and Shortcomings of Social Judgment |
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Page 169
... evidence , exposure to such evidence ( whether it supports the theory , opposes the theory , or is mixed ) , will tend to result in more belief in the correctness of the original theory than normative dictates allow . 2. When people ...
... evidence , exposure to such evidence ( whether it supports the theory , opposes the theory , or is mixed ) , will tend to result in more belief in the correctness of the original theory than normative dictates allow . 2. When people ...
Page 181
... evidence " of such powers . Suppose , on the other hand , that Jane receives feedback suggesting that she is particularly poor at the task . Again , supporting " evidence " probably can be generated with ease . Jane might note her ...
... evidence " of such powers . Suppose , on the other hand , that Jane receives feedback suggesting that she is particularly poor at the task . Again , supporting " evidence " probably can be generated with ease . Jane might note her ...
Page 189
... evidence on the mechanisms that foster belief perseverance . But have we committed the same error that our subjects did ? Have we selected and generated evidence in such a way as to confirm our own hypothesis of belief perseverance ? We ...
... evidence on the mechanisms that foster belief perseverance . But have we committed the same error that our subjects did ? Have we selected and generated evidence in such a way as to confirm our own hypothesis of belief perseverance ? We ...
Contents
inferential problems and the formal scientific | 8 |
summary | 15 |
the representativeness heuristic | 24 |
Copyright | |
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ability accuracy accurate actor Amos Tversky assessment attribution theory availability heuristic base rates base-rate behavior beliefs bias biased causal analysis causal attribution causal explanations causal theories causes chapter characterization classical conditioning cognitive colleagues concrete condition consensus information correlation covariation Daniel Kahneman Daryl Bem debriefing demonstration diagnostic domain effects estimates everyday evidence example experience experimental failure formal fundamental attribution error given human hypothesis Illusory correlation impact implications important individual inferences inferential strategies inferential tasks influence intuitive scientist judgments Kahneman knowledge structures layperson less likelihood manipulations motivational Nisbett and Wilson normative object observers one's outcomes particular people's perception perseverance person preconceptions predictions predictor primacy effects probably probative problems processes psychology question regression relatively relevant reported representativeness heuristic response Ross sample sample bias schema script seems simple situation Social Psychology sometimes sophomore slump statistical stereotypes stimuli target tendency tion Tversky typical variable versus vivid information