Human Inference: Strategies and Shortcomings of Social Judgment |
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Page 157
... base rate does not seem to serve even as a strategy of " last resort ' should the target information prove valueless . Recall that the subject in the Kahneman and Tversky ( 1973 ) studies who was given both base - rate information and ...
... base rate does not seem to serve even as a strategy of " last resort ' should the target information prove valueless . Recall that the subject in the Kahneman and Tversky ( 1973 ) studies who was given both base - rate information and ...
Page 158
... base rates seem consistent with a causal theory . That is , people can ap- preciate the generating function ... base - rate information . In Ajzen's study , subjects were asked to assess the probability that a given student , whose ...
... base rates seem consistent with a causal theory . That is , people can ap- preciate the generating function ... base - rate information . In Ajzen's study , subjects were asked to assess the probability that a given student , whose ...
Page 159
... base rates provided , and instead based their judgments primarily on the reliability of the eye witnesses ' color ... base rate . Normatively , the relevance of the base rate would seem to be the same in the two conditions ; yet it ...
... base rates provided , and instead based their judgments primarily on the reliability of the eye witnesses ' color ... base rate . Normatively , the relevance of the base rate would seem to be the same in the two conditions ; yet it ...
Contents
inferential problems and the formal scientific | 8 |
summary | 15 |
the representativeness heuristic | 24 |
Copyright | |
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ability accuracy accurate actor Amos Tversky assessment attribution theory availability heuristic base rates base-rate behavior beliefs bias biased causal analysis causal attribution causal explanations causal theories causes chapter characterization classical conditioning cognitive colleagues concrete condition consensus information correlation covariation Daniel Kahneman Daryl Bem debriefing demonstration diagnostic domain effects estimates everyday evidence example experience experimental failure formal fundamental attribution error given human hypothesis Illusory correlation impact implications important individual inferences inferential strategies inferential tasks influence intuitive scientist judgments Kahneman knowledge structures layperson less likelihood manipulations motivational Nisbett and Wilson normative object observers one's outcomes particular people's perception perseverance person preconceptions predictions predictor primacy effects probably probative problems processes psychology question regression relatively relevant reported representativeness heuristic response Ross sample sample bias schema script seems simple situation Social Psychology sometimes sophomore slump statistical stereotypes stimuli target tendency tion Tversky typical variable versus vivid information