Public Opinion, Democracy, and Market Reform in Africa

Front Cover
Cambridge University Press, 2005 - Business & Economics - 466 pages
This book is a groundbreaking exploration of public opinion in sub-Saharan Africa. Based on the Afrobarometer, a survey research project, it reveals what ordinary Africans think about democracy and market reforms, subjects on which almost nothing is otherwise known. The authors find that support for democracy in Africa is wide but shallow and that Afrcns feel trapped between state and market. While Africans are learning about reform on the basis of knowledge, reasoning, and experience, few countries are likely to attain full-fledged democracies and markets anytime soonn.
 

Selected pages

Contents

Africas Hybrid Regimes
13
A Decade of Political Reforms 19902001
15
Two Decades of Economic Reforms 19902001
19
Compatibles and Contradictions
23
Demand Supply and Regime Consolidation
26
Deriving Public Opinion
31
Studying Public Opinion in Africa
34
Competing Theories Rival Hypotheses
35
Cognitive Engagement
211
Political and Economic Knowledge
213
The Eye of the Beholder
216
Cognitive Models
219
Performance Evaluations
222
Evaluating the Economy
223
The Corruption of the State?
228
Assessing Regime Performance
235

Toward a Learning Approach
44
Survey Research in Africa
50
The Afrobarometer
53
An Appropriate Method?
55
A Quest for Comparison
59
POPULAR ATTITUDES TO REFORM
63
Attitudes to Democracy
65
Support for Democracy
72
Rejection of Alternative Regimes
76
Satisfaction with Democracy
81
Wide But Shallow
84
The Extent of Democracy
94
Attitudes to a Market Economy
97
The Popular Development Agenda
98
Between State and Market
104
Awareness of Economic Reforms
112
Support for Economic Reforms
117
Satisfaction with Economic Reforms
122
Economic Patience?
126
Economic and Political Behavior
130
Living Standards
131
Securing Economic Livelihoods
135
Compliance with the Law
141
Varieties of Political Participation
143
Defending Democracy
155
From Attitudes to Behavior
157
COMPETING EXPLANATIONS
161
The Structure of Society
163
Demographic Determinants
164
Varieties of Subnationalism
169
The Burden of Poverty
176
Structural Models
181
Cultural Values
185
SelfDefined
186
Interpersonal Trust
193
An Emergent Individualism
197
Cultural Models
200
Awareness of Public Affairs
203
The Spark of Education
204
Exposure to Mass Media
208
Grading the Government
238
A Representation Gap?
241
Performance Models
246
Institutional Influences
250
Associational Life
251
Party Identification
256
Political Participation
261
Economic Participation
265
Institutional Models
266
EXPLAINING REFORM CONSTITUENCIES
269
Modeling Attitudes to Reform
271
Modeling Demand for Democracy
272
Modeling the Supply of Democracy
277
Modeling Demand for a Market Economy
282
Modeling the supply of Economic Reform
286
A Learning Process
289
Predicting Political Participation
295
Voting
296
Protesting
300
Communing and Contacting
301
Vote Choice
304
Defending Democracy
308
Cause or Effect?
309
Deciphering Regime Consolidation
315
The Effects of Country
316
Demand Supply and Regime Consolidation Revisited
320
The Consolidation of African Political Regimes
324
The Correlates of Consolidation
327
Economic versus Political Legacies
333
Paths of Political Legacies
337
Conclusions
343
The Study of Africa
344
Theories of Social Change
347
Strategies of Development
351
A Items Constructs and Indices
355
B Sampling Method
392
C Imputation of Data
397
Notes
401
Index
457
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About the author (2005)

Professor Michael Bratton is Professor of Political Science and at the African Studies Center at Michigan State University. He is the co-founder and co-director of the Afrobarometer, a comparative series of national political attitude surveys covering more than a dozen African countries. He is the recipient of numerous grants and awards for his work on Africa and his ongoing research there. He is also a member of the Editorial Board for the Journal of Modern African Studies and the co-author (with Nicolas van de Walle of Democratic Experiments in Africa: Regime Transitions in Comparative Perspective.